2026 NFL · Week 7 · Oct 22 – Oct 26

NFL Week 7 big-game preview

Not a pick — a production forecast. Our ratings carry no win/loss input, so there is no spread here. Every projected player is verified on his team's current 2026 roster — a 2025 producer who was traded or signed away is projected for his new team against the new opponent (and flagged), and a departed player never appears. Where the depth chart lists a 2026 rookie starter, we project him from his college-continuous rating — something no other outlet can do.

Chiefs at SeahawksSun Oct 25, 8:20PM ET
Seahawks's 84th-percentile rush defense looks to smother Chiefs's 56th-percentile running game — Patrick Mahomes II projects for 245 pass yds.
Chiefs Pass O → Seahawks Pass D
offense1484 · 81st pct
defense1505 · 100th pct
edge -21 defense
Chiefs Rush O → Seahawks Rush D
offense1420 · 56th pct
defense1465 · 84th pct
edge -45 defense★ biggest edge
Seahawks Pass O → Chiefs Pass D
offense1496 · 84th pct
defense1486 · 94th pct
edge +10 offense
Seahawks Rush O → Chiefs Rush D
offense1427 · 69th pct
defense1431 · 56th pct
edge -4 defense

Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes IIQB · rtg 1579
245 Pass yds1.3 Pass TD1 INT
Travis KelceTE · rtg 1684
3.8 Rec40 Rec yds0.2 Rec TD
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · rtg 1546
90 Rush yds0.7 Rush TD20 Rec yds

Seahawks

Sam DarnoldQB · rtg 1449
215 Pass yds1.3 Pass TD0.9 INT
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · rtg 1538
6.7 Rec90 Rec yds0.6 Rec TD
AJ BarnerTE · rtg 1342
2.7 Rec25 Rec yds0.2 Rec TD
Packers at LionsSun Oct 25, 4:25PM ET
Packers's 78th-percentile passing attack meets Lions's 6th-percentile pass defense — Jordan Love projects for 240 pass yds.
Packers Pass O → Lions Pass D
offense1478 · 78th pct
defense1304 · 6th pct
edge +174 offense★ biggest edge
Packers Rush O → Lions Rush D
offense1424 · 62nd pct
defense1435 · 62nd pct
edge -11 defense
Lions Pass O → Packers Pass D
offense1580 · 100th pct
defense1456 · 72nd pct
edge +124 offense
Lions Rush O → Packers Rush D
offense1460 · 84th pct
defense1443 · 66th pct
edge +17 offense

Packers

Jordan LoveQB · rtg 1453
240 Pass yds1.9 Pass TD0.5 INT
Tucker KraftTE · rtg 1448
4.1 Rec55 Rec yds0.4 Rec TD
Christian WatsonWR · rtg 1400
4.3 Rec70 Rec yds0.7 Rec TD

Lions

Jared GoffQB · rtg 1588
275 Pass yds1.8 Pass TD0.5 INT
Jahmyr GibbsRB · rtg 1566
75 Rush yds0.7 Rush TD40 Rec yds
Sam LaPortaTE · rtg 1552
4.4 Rec50 Rec yds0.4 Rec TD
Niners at FalconsSun Oct 25, 1:00PM ET
Niners's 94th-percentile passing attack meets Falcons's 41st-percentile pass defense — Brock Purdy projects for 235 pass yds.
Niners Pass O → Falcons Pass D
offense1538 · 94th pct
defense1402 · 41st pct
edge +136 offense★ biggest edge
Niners Rush O → Falcons Rush D
offense1452 · 81st pct
defense1410 · 44th pct
edge +42 offense
Falcons Pass O → Niners Pass D
offense1406 · 47th pct
defense1482 · 91st pct
edge -76 defense
Falcons Rush O → Niners Rush D
offense1485 · 94th pct
defense1476 · 88th pct
edge +9 offense

Niners

Brock PurdyQB · rtg 1534
235 Pass yds2 Pass TD0.7 INT
George KittleTE · rtg 1626
4.5 Rec55 Rec yds0.6 Rec TD
Mike EvansWR · rtg 1590
4.3 Rec60 Rec yds0.4 Rec TD

Falcons

Michael Penix Jr.QB · rtg 1446
220 Pass yds1.1 Pass TD0.5 INT
Bijan RobinsonRB · rtg 1604
90 Rush yds0.4 Rush TD30 Rec yds
Kyle PittsTE · rtg 1516
4.1 Rec45 Rec yds0.4 Rec TD
Patriots at BearsThu Oct 22, 8:15PM ET
Patriots's 88th-percentile pass defense looks to smother Bears's 28th-percentile passing game — Caleb Williams projects for 235 pass yds.
Patriots Pass O → Bears Pass D
offense1475 · 75th pct
defense1392 · 38th pct
edge +83 offense
Patriots Rush O → Bears Rush D
offense1426 · 66th pct
defense1351 · 19th pct
edge +75 offense
Bears Pass O → Patriots Pass D
offense1357 · 28th pct
defense1474 · 88th pct
edge -117 defense★ biggest edge
Bears Rush O → Patriots Rush D
offense1462 · 88th pct
defense1454 · 72nd pct
edge +8 offense

Patriots

Drake MayeQB · rtg 1506
240 Pass yds1.8 Pass TD30 Rush yds
Hunter HenryTE · rtg 1530
3.2 Rec35 Rec yds0.3 Rec TD
Rhamondre StevensonRB · rtg 1426
55 Rush yds0.4 Rush TD25 Rec yds

Bears

Caleb WilliamsQB · rtg 1453
235 Pass yds1.5 Pass TD0.8 INT
D'Andre SwiftRB · rtg 1509
65 Rush yds0.7 Rush TD15 Rec yds
Colston LovelandTE · rtg 1448
4.4 Rec50 Rec yds0.2 Rec TD
Cowboys at EaglesMon Oct 26, 8:15PM ET
Eagles's 72nd-percentile running attack meets Cowboys's 16th-percentile rush defense — Tanner McKee projects for 195 pass yds.
Cowboys Pass O → Eagles Pass D
offense1518 · 91st pct
defense1466 · 81st pct
edge +52 offense
Cowboys Rush O → Eagles Rush D
offense1398 · 47th pct
defense1432 · 59th pct
edge -34 defense
Eagles Pass O → Cowboys Pass D
offense1356 · 25th pct
defense1324 · 12th pct
edge +32 offense
Eagles Rush O → Cowboys Rush D
offense1434 · 72nd pct
defense1350 · 16th pct
edge +84 offense★ biggest edge

Cowboys

Dak PrescottQB · rtg 1542
260 Pass yds1.3 Pass TD0.8 INT
Javonte WilliamsRB · rtg 1436
60 Rush yds0.6 Rush TD10 Rec yds
CeeDee LambWR · rtg 1587
5.9 Rec75 Rec yds0.3 Rec TD

Eagles

Tanner McKeeQB · rtg 1379
195 Pass yds0.9 Pass TD0.6 INT
Dallas GoedertTE · rtg 1557
3.9 Rec40 Rec yds0.5 Rec TD
DeVonta SmithWR · rtg 1500
4.8 Rec55 Rec yds0.2 Rec TD
Colts at VikingsSun Oct 25, 1:00PM ET
Vikings's 78th-percentile pass defense looks to smother Colts's 31st-percentile passing game — Daniel Jones projects for 220 pass yds.
Colts Pass O → Vikings Pass D
offense1365 · 31st pct
defense1465 · 78th pct
edge -100 defense★ biggest edge
Colts Rush O → Vikings Rush D
offense1442 · 78th pct
defense1456 · 78th pct
edge -14 defense
Vikings Pass O → Colts Pass D
offense1406 · 47th pct
defense1344 · 16th pct
edge +62 offense
Vikings Rush O → Colts Rush D
offense1392 · 41st pct
defense1419 · 47th pct
edge -27 defense

Colts

Daniel JonesQB · rtg 1423
220 Pass yds1.1 Pass TD0.9 INT
Jonathan TaylorRB · rtg 1653
70 Rush yds0.6 Rush TD20 Rec yds
Josh DownsWR · rtg 1367
3.6 Rec45 Rec yds0.1 Rec TD

Vikings

Kyler MurrayQB · rtg 1504
195 Pass yds1 Pass TD0.6 INT
Aaron Jones Sr.RB · rtg 1532
60 Rush yds0.3 Rush TD15 Rec yds
Justin JeffersonWR · rtg 1557
4.3 Rec55 Rec yds0.2 Rec TD
Bengals at RavensSun Oct 25, 1:00PM ET
Ravens's 100th-percentile running attack meets Bengals's 6th-percentile rush defense — Tyler Huntley projects for 160 pass yds.
Bengals Pass O → Ravens Pass D
offense1470 · 72nd pct
defense1406 · 44th pct
edge +64 offense
Bengals Rush O → Ravens Rush D
offense1308 · 6th pct
defense1518 · 97th pct
edge -210 defense
Ravens Pass O → Bengals Pass D
offense1410 · 56th pct
defense1304 · 6th pct
edge +106 offense
Ravens Rush O → Bengals Rush D
offense1656 · 100th pct
defense1332 · 6th pct
edge +324 offense★ biggest edge

Bengals

Joe BurrowQB · rtg 1567
240 Pass yds2 Pass TD0.7 INT
Chase BrownRB · rtg 1473
60 Rush yds0.3 Rush TD25 Rec yds
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · rtg 1566
5.9 Rec70 Rec yds0.4 Rec TD

Ravens

Tyler HuntleyQB · rtg 1367
160 Pass yds0.9 Pass TD25 Rush yds
Derrick HenryRB · rtg 1684
95 Rush yds1.1 Rush TD10 Rec yds
Mark AndrewsTE · rtg 1530
3.1 Rec30 Rec yds0.1 Rec TD
Buccaneers at PanthersSun Oct 25, 1:00PM ET
Buccaneers's 100th-percentile rush defense looks to smother Panthers's 44th-percentile running game — Bryce Young projects for 250 pass yds.
Buccaneers Pass O → Panthers Pass D
offense1428 · 66th pct
defense1456 · 72nd pct
edge -28 defense
Buccaneers Rush O → Panthers Rush D
offense1390 · 38th pct
defense1342 · 12th pct
edge +48 offense
Panthers Pass O → Buccaneers Pass D
offense1322 · 16th pct
defense1354 · 22nd pct
edge -32 defense
Panthers Rush O → Buccaneers Rush D
offense1396 · 44th pct
defense1536 · 100th pct
edge -140 defense★ biggest edge

Buccaneers

Jalon Danielsrookie · college-continuousQB · rtg 1371
160 Pass yds0.8 Pass TD25 Rush yds
Cade OttonTE · rtg 1432
3.2 Rec30 Rec yds0.1 Rec TD
Bucky IrvingRB · rtg 1469
65 Rush yds0.2 Rush TD20 Rec yds

Panthers

Bryce YoungQB · rtg 1419
250 Pass yds1.8 Pass TD0.5 INT
Chuba HubbardRB · rtg 1453
50 Rush yds0.4 Rush TD15 Rec yds
Tetairoa McMillanWR · rtg 1471
4.6 Rec70 Rec yds0.5 Rec TD

Roster gate: nflverse 2026 roster (status ACT), fetched 2026-10-20 04:11; starters from the nflverse depth chart snapshot 2026-10-20T06:01:57Z. Unit elos are each team's most recent pre-game rating; percentiles rank them against all 32 teams this season. Veteran projections use matchup_project's engine-consistent adjusted form (season average + opponent delta). Rookie projections use the engine-inverted stat from the r-dial college-continuous seed (1400 + r × college final). Forecasts, not guarantees — we grade them next week.